Western Cape Climate Change Mitigation Scenarios for the Energy Scenarios_Report_2015.pdf

Summary

This comprehensive report examines climate change mitigation scenarios for the energy sector in the Western Cape, South Africa, specifically focusing on reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 2040. It details various mitigation measures across sectors like transport, industry, buildings, and agriculture, assessing their potential impact on energy consumption and emissions. The study models different scenarios, including a "Reference case" (business as usual), "All Possible Measures" (implementing feasible abatements), and "All Possible Measures with fuel switching" (transitioning from coal to natural gas), demonstrating substantial emission reductions in the latter. Furthermore, it employs a Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA) framework to rank these measures based on factors beyond just cost, such as economic, social, and environmental impacts, offering insights into prioritising interventions where provincial and local governments have significant influence. The report also provides detailed data, assumptions, and methodologies used for modelling and analysis, including energy balances and emission conversion factors.